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摘要: The current lithium-ion battery remaining useful life (RUL) prediction techniques are mainly developed dependent on offline training data. The loaded current, temperature, and state of charge of lithium-ion batteries used for electric vehicles (EVs) change dramatically under the working conditions. Therefore, it is difficult to design acceleration aging tests of lithium-ion batteries under similar working conditions as those for EVs and to collect effective offline training data. To address this problem, this paper developed an RUL prediction method based on the Box-Cox transformation (BCT) and Monte Carlo (MC) simulation. This method can be implemented independent of offline training data. In the method, the BCT was used to transform the available capacity data and to construct a linear model between the transformed capacities and cycles. The constructed linear model using the BCT was extrapolated to predict the battery RUL, and the RUL prediction uncertainties were generated using the MC simulation. Experimental results showed that accurate and precise RULs were predicted with errors and standard deviations within, respectively, [-20, 10] cycles and [1.8, 7] cycles. If some offline training data are available, the method can reduce the required online training data and, thus, the acceleration aging test time of lithium-ion batteries. Experimental results showed that the acceleration time of the tested cells can be reduced by 70%-85% based on the developed method, which saved one to three months' acceleration test time compared to the particle filter method. |
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| 图1 Framework of lithium-ion battery RUL prediction for EVs. | 图2 RUL prediction results based on the BCT and the standard PF method: (a) RUL error of cell A; (b) STD of cell A; (c) RUL error of cell C; (d) STD of cell C; (e) RUL error of cell E; and (f) STD of cell E. | 引文信息: Zhang Y , Xiong R , He H , et al. Lithium-ion battery remaining useful life prediction with Box-Cox transformation and Monte Carlo simulation[J]. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics, 2018:1-1. (下载链接) | 其他相关论文: 1. Zhang Y Z , Xiong R , He H W , et al. A LSTM-RNN method for the lithuim-ion battery remaining useful life prediction[C]// 2017 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Harbin). 2017.(下载链接)
2.Zhang Y , Xiong R , He H , et al. State of charge-dependent aging mechanisms in graphite/Li(NiCoAl)O_2 cells: Capacity loss modeling and remaining useful life prediction[J]. Applied Energy, 2019, 255(Dec.1):113818.1-113818.8. (下载链接)
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